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Rotten Ali

Ebola and Other Viruses

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Ebola has something like a 90% mortality rate, and this chap saved 100 victims lives.

 

I doubt the factuality of those statements. According to that Independent article DJL pointed to:

 

ince its emergence in 1976, there have been 2,586 cases of Ebola virus disease in humans and 1,717 deaths.

 

Which means 869 or about a third survived.

 

It also seems improbable that Sheik Umar Khan treated one in nine of those survivors.

 

regards,

Hein

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Suspected Ebola death in Donegal, had just come back from Sierra Leone.

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Brit with Ebola evacuated back to London: http://www.abc.net.a...eatment/5693132

 

Can we make it national policy that he snogs the face of all British politicians and recently imprisoned high profile celebrities, once he's done that he can start on the ppi salesmen and parking attendants. We could make this as a good thing for the country!

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Brit with Ebola evacuated back to London: http://www.abc.net.a...eatment/5693132

 

Can we make it national policy that he snogs the face of all British politicians and recently imprisoned high profile celebrities, once he's done that he can start on the ppi salesmen and parking attendants. We could make this as a good thing for the country!

 

I'd like to see him snog every currently active sports commentator except Barry Davies.

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More new figures out and the WHO are expecting at least 20,000 cases.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-28971710

 

So over the previous 6 days we were running at an average of 21 new fatal cases per day. And 12% increase on the past 7 day period. Over a 28 day period we now have a 105% increase in the death toll. Over a calendar month that's a 114% increase. Projecting this forward we are now on-target for 237 million deaths by the end of 2015 and 100% worldwide infection by June 2016.

 

Two weeks ago I put together a similar analysis and got that end date to be August 2016.

 

Scream louder if you want to go a whole lot faster...

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More new figures out and the WHO are expecting at least 20,000 cases.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk...africa-28971710

 

So over the previous 6 days we were running at an average of 21 new fatal cases per day. And 12% increase on the past 7 day period. Over a 28 day period we now have a 105% increase in the death toll. Over a calendar month that's a 114% increase. Projecting this forward we are now on-target for 237 million deaths by the end of 2015 and 100% worldwide infection by June 2016.

 

Two weeks ago I put together a similar analysis and got that end date to be August 2016.

 

Scream louder if you want to go a whole lot faster...

 

Cracking punchline, awesome posting RA!

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I saw the pictures of the Nurse Pooley, and what's the betting that he wants to go back asap.

 

Don't know whether to applaud him if he does want to go back to Africa, but you would hope his family try to talk him out of it

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I saw the pictures of the Nurse Pooley, and what's the betting that he wants to go back asap.

 

Don't know whether to applaud him if he does want to go back to Africa, but you would hope his family try to talk him out of it

 

Is it the case with Ebola that once you have had it you will not get it again?

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I saw the pictures of the Nurse Pooley, and what's the betting that he wants to go back asap.

 

Don't know whether to applaud him if he does want to go back to Africa, but you would hope his family try to talk him out of it

 

Is it the case with Ebola that once you have had it you will not get it again?

There's probably been no one who has been exposed to it twice to find out!

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Figure are climbing at such a rate that exact numbers are getting harder for the WHO to provide. The other day they were initially rounded to the nearest hundred.

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Figure are climbing at such a rate that exact numbers are getting harder for the WHO to provide. The other day they were initially rounded to the nearest hundred.

 

 

bill gates and george soros funds depopulation efforts by funding bioweapons labs in west africa..glen thomas, leading expert in AIDS and Ebola, was involved in the investigation of these labs. Mr. Thomas refused to go along with the cover up and was therefore murdered on malaysian flight MH17. What Bill Gates was doing, which sparked the investigation, was engineering the ebola virus to be less lethal at first but rather have a longer incubation period ..therefore..allowing it to spread...the way it was before ..the incubation period wasn't long enough..so the infected would die before they could spread it..UN AGENDA 21 Depopulation.

 

These vids answer alot of questions.

 

 

 

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^ Load of tosh.

 

Also now got an out break of virus, this time a Sudanese strain, in the Dem' Rep' of Congo. 52 cases and 31 dead, to date.

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Posted especially for Rotten Ali, How Bad Can it Get?

http://www.bbc.com/n...health-29060239

R.A is meticulous in compiling data, anybody that has been to a DL con can testify to that.

His stats may well come to pass.

He is currently dribbling at the prospect, nowt like being proved correct, aye. :)

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We're all doomed! We are actually; if Ebola doesn't get us, something else will.

 

Worrying it is, though. I remember, at a previous outbreak, the comments of an epidemiologist poo-pooing the threat of Ebola along the line of: in outbreaks of a virus so lethal and infectious the virus must evolve into something less lethal or run out of new hosts quickly. I guess there's truth there in low-density human populations that are regionally confined, but I'm not so sure what that theory looks like when infected people travel to densely populated areas, such as capitals.

 

I don't lie awake over this. We can isolate cases well enough to contain an outbreak in the west. I'm not so sure countries like Brazil and Mexico, with some of the world's largests cities, would be able to cope should the virus pass the Atlantic.

 

regards,

Hein

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Even the story about Sierra Leone having a nation wide curfew for a four day period is late in the day, although welcome. Starting on the 18th September everyone will be expected to stay only in the family home. Now that's a good plan. But surely this type of action needs to start ASAP, not in 12 days, but in two or three. Then repeated once more for a further period of four days after say only after a single hiatus day. Eight days of curfew out of nine should be a valid first measure to cut the infection rate.

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Posted especially for Rotten Ali, How Bad Can it Get?

http://www.bbc.com/n...health-29060239

R.A is meticulous in compiling data, anybody that has been to a DL con can testify to that.

His stats may well come to pass.

He is currently dribbling at the prospect, nowt like being proved correct, aye. :)

 

You are too fulsome in your praise. I'm looking at raw data and it never goes the way you expect it to. Some data from Guinea is very promising. The doctors have been working with a better educated population and most know what is expected of them. However the hot heads of Liberia who have closer links to the United States can't quite see the big picture and have been obstructive and none compliant with the medics have made matters twice as difficult to manage.

 

The big fear is that it gets to India or China. It could make a real mess of Lagos and the spread there is already three times worse than the typical straight line graph I've noticed in west Africa to date.

 

Even with a fulsome lockdown on the Senegal border it looks like the virus is being found safe side.

 

Figures I've put together at work in my lunch time have already produced welcome results. £35 win on the World Cup result prediction game and leading the Grand Prix prediction contest with about £35 return on a £1 stake so far.

 

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Posted especially for Rotten Ali, How Bad Can it Get?

http://www.bbc.com/n...health-29060239

R.A is meticulous in compiling data, anybody that has been to a DL con can testify to that.

His stats may well come to pass.

He is currently dribbling at the prospect, nowt like being proved correct, aye. :)

 

Is that one of the symptoms? :unsure:

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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-29262968

 

Well, looks like they are saying the advancing spread in now going to be doulbling every two weeks.

I'll predict that in a months time it will doulbling every ten days. Sierra Lione is just starting their stay at home plan. Good for them. However I hear they are starting it at three days rather than the original four day plan. At just three days they will have to modify this plan again soon to say that only one person from each family will be allowed out solely to fetch food items from aid teams.

 

However Liberia looks to be now beyond any help, short of providing 10 million noddy suits within the space of a month.

 

USA are sending 3000 troops into this hell hole. More like writing the death warrants of these troops too, because they just don't know what they are up against.

 

 

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http://www.bbc.co.uk...africa-29262968

 

Well, looks like they are saying the advancing spread in now going to be doulbling every two weeks.

I'll predict that in a months time it will doulbling every ten days. Sierra Lione is just starting their stay at home plan. Good for them. However I hear they are starting it at three days rather than the original four day plan. At just three days they will have to modify this plan again soon to say that only one person from each family will be allowed out solely to fetch food items from aid teams.

 

However Liberia looks to be now beyond any help, short of providing 10 million noddy suits within the space of a month.

 

USA are sending 3000 troops into this hell hole. More like writing the death warrants of these troops too, because they just don't know what they are up against.

 

Who cares?

 

Gotta die of something.

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